Empoli vs Fiorentina Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sun 18 Feb, 14:00
Empoli
11 Full time
Fiorentina
Empoli 1–1 Fiorentina

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (43%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 25%
Draw 32%
Away 43%

💡 Fiorentina have a slight edge — leaning Fiorentina, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 46.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1435 v 1519 Fiorentina rated higher
Form Index LWDDW v DLLWL Empoli 1.6 · Fiorentina 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Fiorentina is the stronger side on Power Rating (1519 vs 1435).
  • Empoli is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.4 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Fiorentina
Form Index
Empoli
Goal expectation
Fiorentina
Home advantage
Empoli

Green = favours Empoli · Blue = favours Fiorentina. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EmpoliLWDDW1.6 ppg
FiorentinaDLLWL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Empoli1435
Fiorentina1519
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model19% · 31% · 51%
Power Rating35% · 25% · 40%
Machine-learning16% · 48% · 36%

AI match preview

Empoli host Fiorentina in a Serie A clash where the model favors an away win at 43%, with a 32% chance of a draw and just 25% for a home victory. Expected goals suggest a tight encounter, with Fiorentina likely edging a 1-0 win, while both teams scoring is less probable at 42%, and over 2.5 goals sits at 37%. These projections highlight probabilities based on current data—please remember to gamble responsibly, 18+.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.76 – 1.41

Most likely score

0-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 37%

Under 63%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Empoli 1–1 Fiorentina
Oct 2023 Fiorentina 0–2 Empoli