Frosinone vs Roma Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sun 18 Feb, 17:00
Frosinone
03 Full time
Roma
Frosinone 0–3 Roma

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (47%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 28%
Draw 25%
Away 47%

💡 Roma are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 52.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 52.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1418 v 1538 Roma rated higher
Form Index LWDLL v LWWWL Frosinone 0.8 · Roma 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Frosinone v Roma

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Why we predict this

  • Roma is the stronger side on Power Rating (1538 vs 1418).
  • Roma is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Roma
Form Index
Roma
Goal expectation
Frosinone
Home advantage
Frosinone

Green = favours Frosinone · Blue = favours Roma. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FrosinoneLWDLL0.8 ppg
RomaLWWWL1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Frosinone1418
Roma1538
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model45% · 25% · 30%
Power Rating33% · 22% · 45%
Machine-learning12% · 24% · 64%

AI match preview

Frosinone hosts Roma in a Serie A clash where the away side holds a 47% chance of victory, according to model projections, though a draw remains a close 25%. Despite Roma's slight edge, the expected goals suggest a tight contest with a likely 1-1 scoreline, supported by a 66% probability of both teams scoring. With a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals, this match could see some attacking action, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.82 – 1.47

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 64%

Under 36%

Both teams to score

Yes 66%

No 34%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Frosinone 0–3 Roma
Oct 2023 Roma 2–0 Frosinone