Sassuolo vs Empoli Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sat 24 Feb, 14:00
Sassuolo
23 Full time
Empoli
Sassuolo 2–3 Empoli

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (45%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 45%
Draw 27%
Away 28%

💡 Sassuolo have a slight edge — leaning Sassuolo, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 49.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1415 v 1435 Empoli rated higher
Form Index LLLDL v WDDWD Sassuolo 0.2 · Empoli 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sassuolo v Empoli

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1415 vs 1435).
  • Empoli is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Empoli
Form Index
Empoli
Goal expectation
Sassuolo
Home advantage
Sassuolo

Green = favours Sassuolo · Blue = favours Empoli. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SassuoloLLLDL0.2 ppg
EmpoliWDDWD1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Sassuolo1415
Empoli1435
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model43% · 30% · 27%
Power Rating44% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning56% · 22% · 22%

AI match preview

Sassuolo hosts Empoli in a Serie A clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 45% chance of victory, while a draw or away win remain plausible outcomes at 27% and 28%, respectively. The model projects a closely contested match with expected goals of 1.45 for Sassuolo and 1.10 for Empoli, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline. With a 53% probability for both teams to score and a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.45 – 1.10

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Sassuolo 2–3 Empoli
Nov 2023 Empoli 3–4 Sassuolo