Salernitana vs Monza Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sat 24 Feb, 17:00
Salernitana
02 Full time
Monza
Salernitana 0–2 Monza

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (44%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 27%
Draw 29%
Away 44%

💡 Monza have a slight edge — leaning Monza, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 48.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1358 v 1489 Monza rated higher
Form Index LLDLL v LWDDW Salernitana 0.2 · Monza 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Salernitana v Monza

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Why we predict this

  • Monza is the stronger side on Power Rating (1489 vs 1358).
  • Monza is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Monza
Form Index
Monza
Goal expectation
Monza
Home advantage
Salernitana

Green = favours Salernitana · Blue = favours Monza. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SalernitanaLLDLL0.2 ppg
MonzaLWDDW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Salernitana1358
Monza1489
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model27% · 30% · 43%
Power Rating32% · 21% · 47%
Machine-learning17% · 31% · 52%

AI match preview

Salernitana host Monza in a Serie A clash where the away side holds a 44% chance to win, slightly favored over a home victory at 27% or a draw at 29%. With expected goals of 1.05 for Salernitana and 1.38 for Monza, a 1-1 draw emerges as the most probable scoreline despite the model's lean towards an away win. The match also shows a balanced outlook for goals, with a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance both teams will score; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.05 – 1.38

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Salernitana 0–2 Monza
Oct 2023 Monza 3–0 Salernitana