Genoa vs Udinese Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sat 24 Feb, 19:45
Genoa
20 Full time
Udinese
Genoa 2–0 Udinese

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (44%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 44%
Draw 30%
Away 27%

💡 Genoa have a slight edge — leaning Genoa, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 47.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 47.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1479 v 1458 Genoa rated higher
Form Index WWDLD v LLDWD Genoa 1.6 · Udinese 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Genoa v Udinese

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1479 vs 1458).
  • Genoa is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Genoa
Form Index
Genoa
Goal expectation
Genoa
Home advantage
Genoa

Green = favours Genoa · Blue = favours Udinese. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GenoaWWDLD1.6 ppg
UdineseLLDWD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Genoa1479
Udinese1458
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model43% · 32% · 25%
Power Rating50% · 19% · 31%
Machine-learning52% · 31% · 17%

AI match preview

Genoa hold a slight edge over Udinese with a 44% chance to win, while a draw is also a strong possibility at 30%, according to the model. The expected goals suggest a tight contest, with Genoa favored to score 1.31 goals against Udinese’s 0.94, but the most likely scoreline remains 1-1. With a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance both teams will score, this match could hinge on fine margins—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.31 – 0.94

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 39%

Under 61%

Both teams to score

Yes 46%

No 54%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Genoa 2–0 Udinese
Oct 2023 Udinese 2–2 Genoa