Cagliari vs Napoli Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sun 25 Feb, 14:00
Cagliari
11 Full time
Napoli
Cagliari 1–1 Napoli

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (51%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 23%
Draw 27%
Away 51%

💡 Napoli are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 57.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 57.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1388 v 1511 Napoli rated higher
Form Index LLLLD v WDWLD Cagliari 0.2 · Napoli 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Napoli is the stronger side on Power Rating (1511 vs 1388).
  • Napoli is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Napoli
Form Index
Napoli
Goal expectation
Napoli
Home advantage
Cagliari

Green = favours Cagliari · Blue = favours Napoli. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CagliariLLLLD0.2 ppg
NapoliWDWLD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Cagliari1388
Napoli1511
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model18% · 25% · 57%
Power Rating33% · 22% · 46%
Machine-learning20% · 38% · 42%

AI match preview

Napoli enters this Serie A clash at Cagliari as favorites with a 51% chance of victory, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 27%. The model projects a moderately open game with expected goals favoring the visitors (1.87 to 0.96), suggesting potential for both teams to find the net and a likely 1-1 scoreline. Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score are slightly more than 50% probable, indicating an engaging contest; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.96 – 1.87

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 54%

Under 46%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Cagliari 1–1 Napoli
Dec 2023 Napoli 2–1 Cagliari