Fiorentina vs Lazio Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Mon 26 Feb, 19:45
Fiorentina
21 Full time
Lazio
Fiorentina 2–1 Lazio

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (44%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 44%
Draw 28%
Away 28%

💡 Fiorentina have a slight edge — leaning Fiorentina, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 49.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1518 v 1545 Lazio rated higher
Form Index LLWLD v DLWLW Fiorentina 0.8 · Lazio 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Fiorentina v Lazio

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1518 vs 1545).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lazio
Form Index
Lazio
Goal expectation
Fiorentina
Home advantage
Fiorentina

Green = favours Fiorentina · Blue = favours Lazio. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FiorentinaLLWLD0.8 ppg
LazioDLWLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Fiorentina1518
Lazio1545
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model45% · 28% · 27%
Power Rating42% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning45% · 28% · 27%

AI match preview

Fiorentina host Lazio in a Serie A clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 44% chance of victory, though a draw or away win remain plausible outcomes. The model forecasts a competitive encounter with an expected goals tally of 1.60 for Fiorentina against 1.20 for Lazio, and the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw. With a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these projections are based on statistics—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.60 – 1.20

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 53%

Under 47%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Fiorentina 2–1 Lazio
Oct 2023 Lazio 1–0 Fiorentina