Sassuolo vs Napoli Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Wed 28 Feb, 17:00
Sassuolo
16 Full time
Napoli
Sassuolo 1–6 Napoli

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (48%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 24%
Draw 27%
Away 48%

💡 Napoli are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 54.3/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 54.3
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1403 v 1509 Napoli rated higher
Form Index LLDLL v DWLDD Sassuolo 0.2 · Napoli 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Napoli is the stronger side on Power Rating (1509 vs 1403).
  • Napoli is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.7 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Napoli
Form Index
Napoli
Goal expectation
Napoli
Home advantage
Sassuolo

Green = favours Sassuolo · Blue = favours Napoli. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SassuoloLLDLL0.2 ppg
NapoliDWLDD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Sassuolo1403
Napoli1509
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model21% · 27% · 52%
Power Rating34% · 23% · 43%
Machine-learning25% · 40% · 36%

AI match preview

Napoli enters this Serie A clash against Sassuolo as the slight favorite with a 48% chance to win, though the model suggests a draw is nearly as likely at 27%. The expected goals tally favors Napoli at 1.68 compared to Sassuolo’s 1.00, indicating a moderately open contest with a 53% probability both teams will score. The most probable scoreline is 1-1, and there’s an even chance the match will see over 2.5 goals, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.00 – 1.68

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 50%

Under 50%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Sassuolo 1–6 Napoli
Aug 2023 Napoli 2–0 Sassuolo