Lazio vs Milan Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Fri 1 Mar, 19:45
Lazio
01 Full time
Milan
Lazio 0–1 Milan

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (39%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 31%
Draw 29%
Away 39%

💡 Milan have a slight edge — leaning Milan, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 41.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 41.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1535 v 1592 Milan rated higher
Form Index LWLWL v DWWLD Lazio 1.2 · Milan 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Milan is the stronger side on Power Rating (1592 vs 1535).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Milan
Form Index
Milan
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Lazio

Green = favours Lazio · Blue = favours Milan. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LazioLWLWL1.2 ppg
MilanDWWLD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Lazio1535
Milan1592
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model35% · 28% · 36%
Power Rating38% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning27% · 33% · 41%

AI match preview

Lazio and Milan are set for a closely contested Serie A clash, with the model giving Milan a slight edge at 39% to claim victory, while a draw remains a strong possibility at 29%. Both teams are expected to produce a tight game, reflected in the nearly even expected goals (1.38 for Lazio, 1.41 for Milan) and the most likely scoreline of 1-1. With a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, fans can anticipate an engaging match, though these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.41

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 53%

Under 47%

Both teams to score

Yes 58%

No 42%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Lazio 0–1 Milan
Sept 2023 Milan 2–0 Lazio