Udinese vs Salernitana Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sat 2 Mar, 14:00
Udinese
11 Full time
Salernitana
Udinese 1–1 Salernitana

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (60%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 60%
Draw 22%
Away 17%

💡 Udinese are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 70.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 70.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1446 v 1345 Udinese rated higher
Form Index LDWDL v LDLLL Udinese 1.0 · Salernitana 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Udinese v Salernitana

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Udinese is the stronger side on Power Rating (1446 vs 1345).
  • Udinese is in clearly better recent form (1.0 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Udinese
Form Index
Udinese
Goal expectation
Udinese
Home advantage
Udinese

Green = favours Udinese · Blue = favours Salernitana. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
UdineseLDWDL1.0 ppg
SalernitanaLDLLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Udinese1446
Salernitana1345
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model54% · 28% · 19%
Power Rating64% · 12% · 24%
Machine-learning72% · 19% · 9%

AI match preview

Udinese enters this Serie A clash with a 60% probability of securing a home win against Salernitana, backed by an expected goals advantage of 1.64 to 0.88. Despite the model favoring Udinese, the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, reflecting a competitive encounter with nearly even chances for both teams to score. With under 50% probabilities for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, this matchup could hinge on tight margins—remember, these projections are statistical estimates; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.64 – 0.88

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 46%

Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Udinese 1–1 Salernitana
Aug 2023 Salernitana 1–1 Udinese