Monza vs Roma Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sat 2 Mar, 17:00
Monza
14 Full time
Roma
Monza 1–4 Roma

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (42%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 29%
Draw 29%
Away 42%

💡 Roma have a slight edge — leaning Roma, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 45.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 45.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1503 v 1562 Roma rated higher
Form Index WDDWW v WWLWW Monza 2.2 · Roma 2.4 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Roma is the stronger side on Power Rating (1562 vs 1503).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Roma
Form Index
Roma
Goal expectation
Monza
Home advantage
Monza

Green = favours Monza · Blue = favours Roma. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MonzaWDDWW2.2 ppg
RomaWWLWW2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Monza1503
Roma1562
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model38% · 32% · 31%
Power Rating37% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning24% · 32% · 44%

AI match preview

Monza hosts Roma in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a slight edge with a 42% chance of winning, though the model also suggests a draw is equally plausible at 29%. Expected goals are close, with Monza at 1.23 and Roma at 1.10, pointing to a tight contest potentially ending 1-1. With under 2.5 goals favored at 59% and a 49% chance both teams score, this matchup looks set for a competitive battle; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.23 – 1.10

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 41%

Under 59%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Monza 1–4 Roma
Oct 2023 Roma 1–0 Monza