Empoli vs Cagliari Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sun 3 Mar, 14:00
Empoli
01 Full time
Cagliari
Empoli 0–1 Cagliari

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (46%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 46%
Draw 28%
Away 26%

💡 Empoli are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 50.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 50.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1448 v 1390 Empoli rated higher
Form Index DDWDW v LLLDD Empoli 1.8 · Cagliari 0.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Empoli v Cagliari

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Why we predict this

  • Empoli is the stronger side on Power Rating (1448 vs 1390).
  • Empoli is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Empoli
Form Index
Empoli
Goal expectation
Empoli
Home advantage
Empoli

Green = favours Empoli · Blue = favours Cagliari. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EmpoliDDWDW1.8 ppg
CagliariLLLDD0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Empoli1448
Cagliari1390
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model38% · 35% · 27%
Power Rating56% · 16% · 28%
Machine-learning55% · 33% · 12%

AI match preview

Empoli hosts Cagliari in a Serie A clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 46% chance of victory, while draws and away wins are also plausible outcomes. The model projects a tight match with an expected goals tally favoring Empoli 1.05 to 0.83, yet the most likely scoreline remains a goalless draw. With only a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score, this game could be a cautious affair; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.05 – 0.83

Most likely score

0-0

17% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 29%

Under 71%

Both teams to score

Yes 38%

No 62%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Empoli 0–1 Cagliari
Dec 2023 Cagliari 0–0 Empoli