Frosinone vs Lecce Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sun 3 Mar, 14:00
Frosinone
11 Full time
Lecce
Frosinone 1–1 Lecce

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (44%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 44%
Draw 27%
Away 30%

💡 Frosinone have a slight edge — leaning Frosinone, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 47.3/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 47.3
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1398 v 1420 Lecce rated higher
Form Index DLLLL v LWLLL Frosinone 0.2 · Lecce 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Frosinone v Lecce

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1398 vs 1420).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lecce
Form Index
Lecce
Goal expectation
Frosinone
Home advantage
Frosinone

Green = favours Frosinone · Blue = favours Lecce. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FrosinoneDLLLL0.2 ppg
LecceLWLLL0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Frosinone1398
Lecce1420
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model54% · 25% · 20%
Power Rating43% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning41% · 26% · 33%

AI match preview

Frosinone hosts Lecce in a Serie A clash where the home side holds a slight advantage with a 44% chance of victory, while a draw and away win stand at 27% and 30% respectively. The model projects an expected goals tally favoring Frosinone 1.85 to 1.07, yet the most probable scoreline is a 1-1 stalemate, highlighting a competitive encounter. With over 2.5 goals and both teams to score probabilities just above 55%, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.85 – 1.07

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Frosinone 1–1 Lecce
Dec 2023 Lecce 2–1 Frosinone