Atalanta vs Bologna Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sun 3 Mar, 17:00
Atalanta
12 Full time
Bologna
Atalanta 1–2 Bologna

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (51%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 51%
Draw 24%
Away 25%

💡 Atalanta are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 57.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 57.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1587 v 1583 Atalanta rated higher
Form Index WWWDL v WWWWW Atalanta 2.0 · Bologna 3.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Atalanta v Bologna

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1587 vs 1583).
  • Bologna is in clearly better recent form (3.0 vs 2.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Bologna
Goal expectation
Atalanta
Home advantage
Atalanta

Green = favours Atalanta · Blue = favours Bologna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AtalantaWWWDL2.0 ppg
BolognaWWWWW3.0 ppg
Power Rating
Atalanta1587
Bologna1583
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model67% · 22% · 11%
Power Rating47% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning49% · 18% · 33%

AI match preview

Atalanta holds a statistical edge over Bologna with a 51% chance of securing a home win, supported by an expected goals tally of 1.99 compared to Bologna's 0.68. The model predicts a 2-0 victory as the most likely outcome, with a moderate 50% probability for over 2.5 goals and 44% chance both teams will score. These projections offer insight into potential match dynamics, but remember to gamble responsibly—these are probabilistic forecasts for those aged 18 and over.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.99 – 0.68

Most likely score

2-0

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 50%

Under 50%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%

No 56%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Gewiss Stadium Bergamo, Italy Capacity 24,950 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Atalanta 1–2 Bologna
Dec 2023 Bologna 1–0 Atalanta