Cagliari vs Salernitana Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sat 9 Mar, 14:00
Cagliari
42 Full time
Salernitana
Cagliari 4–2 Salernitana

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (54%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 54%
Draw 25%
Away 21%

💡 Cagliari are favourites — about 54 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 61.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 61.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1404 v 1350 Cagliari rated higher
Form Index LLDDW v DLLLD Cagliari 1.0 · Salernitana 0.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Cagliari is the stronger side on Power Rating (1404 vs 1350).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Cagliari
Form Index
Cagliari
Goal expectation
Cagliari
Home advantage
Cagliari

Green = favours Cagliari · Blue = favours Salernitana. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CagliariLLDDW1.0 ppg
SalernitanaDLLLD0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Cagliari1404
Salernitana1350
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model50% · 28% · 22%
Power Rating56% · 16% · 28%
Machine-learning61% · 25% · 14%

AI match preview

Cagliari holds a moderate 54% chance to secure victory against Salernitana in this Serie A clash, with the model indicating a 61.7/100 confidence level in a home win. The expected goals suggest a close contest, 1.60 for Cagliari and 0.99 for Salernitana, aligning with the most likely 1-1 scoreline. With both teams to score predicted at 52% and just under half the chance for over 2.5 goals, fans can anticipate a competitive match; remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.60 – 0.99

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Cagliari 4–2 Salernitana
Oct 2023 Salernitana 2–2 Cagliari