Sassuolo vs Frosinone Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sat 9 Mar, 14:00
Sassuolo
10 Full time
Frosinone
Sassuolo 1–0 Frosinone

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (42%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 42%
Draw 26%
Away 32%

💡 Sassuolo have a slight edge — leaning Sassuolo, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 45.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 45.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1376 v 1397 Frosinone rated higher
Form Index DLLLL v LLLLD Sassuolo 0.2 · Frosinone 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sassuolo v Frosinone

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1376 vs 1397).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Frosinone
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Sassuolo
Home advantage
Sassuolo

Green = favours Sassuolo · Blue = favours Frosinone. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SassuoloDLLLL0.2 ppg
FrosinoneLLLLD0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Sassuolo1376
Frosinone1397
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model51% · 23% · 26%
Power Rating43% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning38% · 29% · 33%

AI match preview

Sassuolo holds a 42% chance of victory against Frosinone, with a 26% probability of a draw and a 32% chance for the visitors to claim three points. The model projects an expected goals tally of 2.12 for Sassuolo and 1.49 for Frosinone, with a closely contested 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline. Given the 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% probability of both teams scoring, this matchup promises an engaging contest, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.12 – 1.49

Most likely score

1-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 70%

Under 30%

Both teams to score

Yes 69%

No 31%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Sassuolo 1–0 Frosinone
Sept 2023 Frosinone 4–2 Sassuolo