Genoa vs Monza Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sat 9 Mar, 19:45
Genoa
23 Full time
Monza
Genoa 2–3 Monza

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (46%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 46%
Draw 28%
Away 26%

💡 Genoa are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 50.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 50.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1488 v 1483 Genoa rated higher
Form Index DLDWL v DDWWL Genoa 1.0 · Monza 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Genoa v Monza

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1488 vs 1483).
  • Monza is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Monza
Goal expectation
Genoa
Home advantage
Genoa

Green = favours Genoa · Blue = favours Monza. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GenoaDLDWL1.0 ppg
MonzaDDWWL1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Genoa1488
Monza1483
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model40% · 33% · 27%
Power Rating48% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning54% · 26% · 21%

AI match preview

Genoa host Monza in a Serie A clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 46% chance of victory, while a draw is also a strong possibility at 28%. The model predicts a closely contested match with an expected goals tally of 1.22 for Genoa and 0.95 for Monza, making a 1-1 scoreline the most likely outcome. With only a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance both teams score, fans should anticipate a tight encounter; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.22 – 0.95

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 37%

Under 63%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Genoa 2–3 Monza
Dec 2023 Monza 1–0 Genoa