Lecce vs Verona Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sun 10 Mar, 11:30
Lecce
01 Full time
Verona
Lecce 0–1 Verona

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (44%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 44%
Draw 29%
Away 27%

💡 Lecce have a slight edge — leaning Lecce, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 47.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 47.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1422 v 1423 Verona rated higher
Form Index WLLLD v LDDLW Lecce 0.8 · Verona 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lecce v Verona

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1422 vs 1423).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Verona
Goal expectation
Lecce
Home advantage
Lecce

Green = favours Lecce · Blue = favours Verona. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LecceWLLLD0.8 ppg
VeronaLDDLW1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Lecce1422
Verona1423
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model39% · 33% · 28%
Power Rating46% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning45% · 30% · 25%

AI match preview

Lecce hosts Verona in a Serie A clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 44% chance of victory, while a draw and away win sit at 29% and 27% respectively. The model anticipates a tight contest, projecting an expected goals tally of 1.18 for Lecce and 0.97 for Verona, with 1-1 as the most probable scoreline. With only a 37% probability for over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance both teams score, this matchup may hinge on narrow margins—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.18 – 0.97

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 37%

Under 63%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Lecce 0–1 Verona
Nov 2023 Verona 2–2 Lecce