Empoli vs Bologna Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Fri 15 Mar, 19:45
Empoli
01 Full time
Bologna
Empoli 0–1 Bologna

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (49%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 22%
Draw 29%
Away 49%

💡 Bologna are favourites — about 49 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 54.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 54.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1428 v 1588 Bologna rated higher
Form Index WDWLL v WWWWL Empoli 1.4 · Bologna 2.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Empoli v Bologna

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Why we predict this

  • Bologna is the stronger side on Power Rating (1588 vs 1428).
  • Bologna is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Bologna
Form Index
Bologna
Goal expectation
Bologna
Home advantage
Empoli

Green = favours Empoli · Blue = favours Bologna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EmpoliWDWLL1.4 ppg
BolognaWWWWL2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Empoli1428
Bologna1588
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model19% · 32% · 49%
Power Rating30% · 19% · 52%
Machine-learning11% · 34% · 55%

AI match preview

Empoli hosts Bologna in a Serie A clash where the model favors an away win at 49% probability, with a modest confidence level of 54.6/100. The expected goals suggest a tight contest, leaning towards a 0-1 scoreline, while a draw remains a strong possibility at 29%. With only a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score, this match could be a low-scoring affair; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.72 – 1.31

Most likely score

0-1

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 33%

Under 67%

Both teams to score

Yes 39%

No 61%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Empoli 0–1 Bologna
Oct 2023 Bologna 3–0 Empoli