Monza vs Cagliari Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sat 16 Mar, 14:00
Monza
10 Full time
Cagliari
Monza 1–0 Cagliari

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (54%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 54%
Draw 24%
Away 22%

💡 Monza are favourites — about 54 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 62.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 62.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1496 v 1415 Monza rated higher
Form Index DWWLW v LDDWW Monza 2.0 · Cagliari 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Monza v Cagliari

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Why we predict this

  • Monza is the stronger side on Power Rating (1496 vs 1415).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Monza
Form Index
Monza
Goal expectation
Monza
Home advantage
Monza

Green = favours Monza · Blue = favours Cagliari. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MonzaDWWLW2.0 ppg
CagliariLDDWW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Monza1496
Cagliari1415
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model53% · 30% · 18%
Power Rating60% · 14% · 26%
Machine-learning69% · 20% · 12%

AI match preview

Monza holds a 54% probability of securing a home win against Cagliari, with the model suggesting a closely contested match likely ending 1-0. The expected goals tally favors Monza at 1.49 compared to Cagliari’s 0.76, indicating a moderate edge in offensive output. With under 2.5 goals and less than half the chance of both teams scoring, this Serie A clash may lean towards a tight, low-scoring affair; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.49 – 0.76

Most likely score

1-0

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 39%

Under 61%

Both teams to score

Yes 43%

No 57%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Monza 1–0 Cagliari
Nov 2023 Cagliari 1–1 Monza