Salernitana vs Lecce Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sat 16 Mar, 17:00
Salernitana
01 Full time
Lecce
Salernitana 0–1 Lecce

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (40%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 29%
Draw 31%
Away 40%

💡 Lecce have a slight edge — leaning Lecce, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 42.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1339 v 1409 Lecce rated higher
Form Index LLLDL v LLLDL Salernitana 0.2 · Lecce 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Salernitana v Lecce

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Why we predict this

  • Lecce is the stronger side on Power Rating (1409 vs 1339).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lecce
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Lecce
Home advantage
Salernitana

Green = favours Salernitana · Blue = favours Lecce. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SalernitanaLLLDL0.2 ppg
LecceLLLDL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Salernitana1339
Lecce1409
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model31% · 31% · 39%
Power Rating36% · 27% · 37%
Machine-learning27% · 40% · 33%

AI match preview

Salernitana and Lecce face off in a Serie A clash where the model slightly favors an away win for Lecce at 40%, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 31%. The expected goals suggest a tight contest, with 1.13 for Salernitana and 1.30 for Lecce, making a 1-1 scoreline the most probable outcome. With just a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% likelihood of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate a competitive match; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.13 – 1.30

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Salernitana 0–1 Lecce
Sept 2023 Lecce 2–0 Salernitana