Roma vs Sassuolo Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sun 17 Mar, 17:00
Roma
10 Full time
Sassuolo
Roma 1–0 Sassuolo

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (73%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 73%
Draw 16%
Away 11%

💡 Roma are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 89.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 89.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1582 v 1385 Roma rated higher
Form Index LWWWD v LLLLW Roma 2.0 · Sassuolo 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Roma v Sassuolo

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Why we predict this

  • Roma is the stronger side on Power Rating (1582 vs 1385).
  • Roma is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (3.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Roma
Form Index
Roma
Goal expectation
Roma
Home advantage
Roma

Green = favours Roma · Blue = favours Sassuolo. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
RomaLWWWD2.0 ppg
SassuoloLLLLW0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Roma1582
Sassuolo1385
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model77% · 14% · 8%
Power Rating72% · 12% · 16%
Machine-learning87% · 8% · 5%

AI match preview

Roma are strongly favored to secure a home win against Sassuolo, with a 73% probability and high confidence at 89/100, supported by an expected goal tally of 3.07 to 1.01. The model suggests a most likely scoreline of 3-1, highlighting a game with a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% likelihood of both teams scoring. These projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly and ensure you are 18 or older.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

3.07 – 1.01

Most likely score

3-1

8% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 77%

Under 23%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Olimpico Rome, Italy Capacity 70,634 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Roma 1–0 Sassuolo
Dec 2023 Sassuolo 1–2 Roma