Genoa vs Frosinone Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sat 30 Mar, 14:00
Genoa
11 Full time
Frosinone
Genoa 1–1 Frosinone

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (57%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 57%
Draw 22%
Away 20%

💡 Genoa are favourites — about 57 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 67.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 67.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1480 v 1378 Genoa rated higher
Form Index DWLLD v LLDLL Genoa 1.0 · Frosinone 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Genoa v Frosinone

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Why we predict this

  • Genoa is the stronger side on Power Rating (1480 vs 1378).
  • Genoa is in clearly better recent form (1.0 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Genoa
Form Index
Genoa
Goal expectation
Genoa
Home advantage
Genoa

Green = favours Genoa · Blue = favours Frosinone. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GenoaDWLLD1.0 ppg
FrosinoneLLDLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Genoa1480
Frosinone1378
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model62% · 22% · 16%
Power Rating64% · 12% · 24%
Machine-learning68% · 18% · 14%

AI match preview

Genoa enter this Serie A clash with a 57% probability of securing a home win, supported by an expected goals tally of 2.15 compared to Frosinone’s 1.03. Despite the home advantage, the model’s most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, reflecting a competitive encounter with a 22% draw chance. With a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, fans can anticipate an engaging, goal-filled match. Remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.15 – 1.03

Most likely score

1-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 62%

Under 38%

Both teams to score

Yes 58%

No 42%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Genoa 1–1 Frosinone
Nov 2023 Frosinone 2–1 Genoa