Lazio vs Juventus Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sat 30 Mar, 17:00
Lazio
10 Full time
Juventus
Lazio 1–0 Juventus

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (32%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 29%
Draw 32%
Away 39%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 40.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1518 v 1594 Juventus rated higher
Form Index WLLLW v DWLDD Lazio 1.2 · Juventus 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Juventus is the stronger side on Power Rating (1594 vs 1518).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Juventus
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Juventus
Home advantage
Lazio

Green = favours Lazio · Blue = favours Juventus. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LazioWLLLW1.2 ppg
JuventusDWLDD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Lazio1518
Juventus1594
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model22% · 34% · 44%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 38%
Machine-learning26% · 42% · 32%

AI match preview

Lazio and Juventus are set to face off in a Serie A clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 39%, though a draw holds a strong 32% probability, making it the most likely outcome. Expected goals suggest a tight encounter with Juventus edging the chances at 1.17 to Lazio’s 0.76, and the most probable scoreline is a goalless draw. With only a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score, this match could hinge on narrow margins—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.76 – 1.17

Most likely score

0-0

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 30%

Under 70%

Both teams to score

Yes 38%

No 62%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Lazio 1–0 Juventus
Sept 2023 Juventus 3–1 Lazio