Fiorentina vs Milan Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sat 30 Mar, 19:45
Fiorentina
12 Full time
Milan
Fiorentina 1–2 Milan

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (41%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 32%
Draw 27%
Away 41%

💡 Milan have a slight edge — leaning Milan, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 43.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1529 v 1620 Milan rated higher
Form Index LDWDD v LDWWW Fiorentina 1.2 · Milan 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Fiorentina v Milan

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Why we predict this

  • Milan is the stronger side on Power Rating (1620 vs 1529).
  • Milan is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Milan
Form Index
Milan
Goal expectation
Fiorentina
Home advantage
Fiorentina

Green = favours Fiorentina · Blue = favours Milan. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FiorentinaLDWDD1.2 ppg
MilanLDWWW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Fiorentina1529
Milan1620
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model42% · 23% · 35%
Power Rating35% · 25% · 41%
Machine-learning21% · 29% · 50%

AI match preview

Fiorentina host Milan in a Serie A clash where the away side holds a slight edge with a 41% chance of victory, according to the model, while a draw remains a strong possibility at 27%. Both teams are projected to find the net, with a 74% probability for goals at both ends and a high chance (74%) of the match exceeding 2.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, but the statistical outlook favors a competitive encounter with opportunities for either side; please remember these are probabilistic forecasts and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.02 – 1.84

Most likely score

1-1

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 74%

Under 26%

Both teams to score

Yes 74%

No 26%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Fiorentina 1–2 Milan
Nov 2023 Milan 1–0 Fiorentina