Lecce vs Roma Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Mon 1 Apr, 18:00
Lecce
00 Full time
Roma
Lecce 0–0 Roma

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (50%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 23%
Draw 27%
Away 50%

💡 Roma are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 56.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 56.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1419 v 1586 Roma rated higher
Form Index LLDLW v WWWDW Lecce 0.8 · Roma 2.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lecce v Roma

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Why we predict this

  • Roma is the stronger side on Power Rating (1586 vs 1419).
  • Roma is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Roma
Form Index
Roma
Goal expectation
Roma
Home advantage
Lecce

Green = favours Lecce · Blue = favours Roma. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LecceLLDLW0.8 ppg
RomaWWWDW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Lecce1419
Roma1586
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model22% · 25% · 53%
Power Rating29% · 18% · 53%
Machine-learning11% · 29% · 61%

AI match preview

Lecce hosts Roma in a Serie A clash where the away side holds a 50% chance of victory, according to model projections, with a moderate confidence level of 56.2 out of 100. Expected goals favor Roma slightly at 1.86 compared to Lecce’s 1.13, yet the most probable scoreline remains a balanced 1-1 draw. With a 58% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and 59% chance both teams score, this match promises attacking action; remember these are statistical forecasts and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.13 – 1.86

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 58%

Under 42%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Lecce 0–0 Roma
Nov 2023 Roma 2–1 Lecce