Salernitana vs Sassuolo Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Fri 5 Apr, 20:45
Salernitana
22 Full time
Sassuolo
Salernitana 2–2 Sassuolo

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (40%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 31%
Draw 28%
Away 40%

💡 Sassuolo have a slight edge — leaning Sassuolo, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 43.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1323 v 1381 Sassuolo rated higher
Form Index 0.2 v 0.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Salernitana v Sassuolo

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Why we predict this

  • Sassuolo is the stronger side on Power Rating (1381 vs 1323).
  • Sassuolo is in clearly better recent form (0.8 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sassuolo
Form Index
Sassuolo
Goal expectation
Sassuolo
Home advantage
Salernitana

Green = favours Salernitana · Blue = favours Sassuolo. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SalernitanaLDLLL0.2 ppg
SassuoloLLWLD0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Salernitana1323
Sassuolo1381
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model29% · 27% · 44%
Power Rating38% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning32% · 36% · 32%

AI match preview

Salernitana host Sassuolo in a Serie A clash where the away side holds a slight edge with a 40% chance of victory, according to model projections. Despite Sassuolo’s advantage, a 1-1 draw is the most probable scoreline, supported by an expected goals tally favoring a balanced contest (1.32-1.65). With a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% likelihood of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.32 – 1.65

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 57%

Under 43%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Salernitana 2–2 Sassuolo
Nov 2023 Sassuolo 2–2 Salernitana