Roma vs Lazio Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sat 6 Apr, 18:00
Roma
10 Full time
Lazio
Roma 1–0 Lazio

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (51%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 51%
Draw 26%
Away 23%

💡 Roma are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 57.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 57.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1582 v 1529 Roma rated higher
Form Index WWDWD v LLLWW Roma 2.2 · Lazio 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Roma v Lazio

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Why we predict this

  • Roma is the stronger side on Power Rating (1582 vs 1529).
  • Roma is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Roma
Form Index
Roma
Goal expectation
Roma
Home advantage
Roma

Green = favours Roma · Blue = favours Lazio. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
RomaWWDWD2.2 ppg
LazioLLLWW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Roma1582
Lazio1529
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model55% · 23% · 22%
Power Rating56% · 16% · 28%
Machine-learning59% · 27% · 14%

AI match preview

Roma hold a slight edge with a 51% chance to claim victory over Lazio in this Serie A clash, though a draw remains a plausible 26% outcome. The model anticipates an open game with expected goals favoring Roma at 2.08 to Lazio’s 1.26, and a 1-1 scoreline emerges as the most likely result. With a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance both teams score, fans can expect an entertaining encounter; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.08 – 1.26

Most likely score

1-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 65%

Under 35%

Both teams to score

Yes 64%

No 36%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Olimpico Rome, Italy Capacity 70,634 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Roma 1–0 Lazio
Nov 2023 Lazio 0–0 Roma