Cagliari vs Atalanta Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sun 7 Apr, 18:00
Cagliari
21 Full time
Atalanta
Cagliari 2–1 Atalanta

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (55%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 20%
Draw 25%
Away 55%

💡 Atalanta are favourites — about 55 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 62.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 62.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1407 v 1598 Atalanta rated higher
Form Index DWWLD v DLLDW Cagliari 1.6 · Atalanta 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Cagliari v Atalanta

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Why we predict this

  • Atalanta is the stronger side on Power Rating (1598 vs 1407).
  • Cagliari is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atalanta
Form Index
Cagliari
Goal expectation
Atalanta
Home advantage
Cagliari

Green = favours Cagliari · Blue = favours Atalanta. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CagliariDWWLD1.6 ppg
AtalantaDLLDW1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Cagliari1407
Atalanta1598
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model26% · 24% · 50%
Power Rating28% · 16% · 57%
Machine-learning5% · 38% · 57%

AI match preview

Cagliari hosts Atalanta in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a 55% chance of victory according to model projections, with a confidence level of 62.6/100. Despite Atalanta's edge, the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, supported by expected goals of 1.43 for Cagliari and 2.01 for Atalanta. With a 67% probability for both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, this encounter promises attacking intent, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.43 – 2.01

Most likely score

1-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 67%

Under 33%

Both teams to score

Yes 67%

No 33%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Cagliari 2–1 Atalanta
Sept 2023 Atalanta 2–0 Cagliari