Lazio vs Salernitana Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Fri 12 Apr, 20:45
Lazio
41 Full time
Salernitana
Lazio 4–1 Salernitana

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (73%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 73%
Draw 17%
Away 10%

💡 Lazio are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 88.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 88.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1522 v 1323 Lazio rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 0.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Lazio is the stronger side on Power Rating (1522 vs 1323).
  • Lazio is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lazio
Form Index
Lazio
Goal expectation
Lazio
Home advantage
Lazio

Green = favours Lazio · Blue = favours Salernitana. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LazioLLWWL1.2 ppg
SalernitanaDLLLD0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Lazio1522
Salernitana1323
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model59% · 29% · 12%
Power Rating72% · 12% · 16%
Machine-learning91% · 7% · 2%

AI match preview

Lazio enters this Serie A clash with a strong 73% probability of securing a home win against Salernitana, backed by an expected goals advantage of 1.51 to 0.55. The model suggests a tightly contested match, with a 1-0 scoreline as the most likely outcome, while chances of over 2.5 goals or both teams scoring sit relatively low at 34%. As always, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.51 – 0.55

Most likely score

1-0

18% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 34%

Under 66%

Both teams to score

Yes 34%

No 66%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Lazio 4–1 Salernitana
Nov 2023 Salernitana 2–1 Lazio