Lecce vs Empoli Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sat 13 Apr, 15:00
Lecce
10 Full time
Empoli
Lecce 1–0 Empoli

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (43%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 43%
Draw 31%
Away 27%

💡 Lecce have a slight edge — leaning Lecce, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 45.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 45.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1416 v 1429 Empoli rated higher
Form Index DLWDL v LLLLW Lecce 1.0 · Empoli 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1416 vs 1429).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Empoli
Form Index
Lecce
Goal expectation
Lecce
Home advantage
Lecce

Green = favours Lecce · Blue = favours Empoli. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LecceDLWDL1.0 ppg
EmpoliLLLLW0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Lecce1416
Empoli1429
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model37% · 32% · 32%
Power Rating45% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning42% · 36% · 22%

AI match preview

Lecce hosts Empoli in a tightly contested Serie A clash where the home side holds a slight 43% chance of victory, while a draw is also a strong possibility at 31%. Both teams are projected to score close to one goal each, suggesting a balanced encounter with a 49% probability of both teams finding the net. With expected goals nearly even and a moderate 41% chance of over 2.5 goals, this match could hinge on fine margins—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.21 – 1.12

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 41%

Under 59%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Lecce 1–0 Empoli
Dec 2023 Empoli 1–1 Lecce