Bologna vs Monza Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sat 13 Apr, 20:45
Bologna
00 Full time
Monza
Bologna 0–0 Monza

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (66%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 66%
Draw 21%
Away 14%

💡 Bologna are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 78.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 78.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1596 v 1476 Bologna rated higher
Form Index WLWWD v LWWLL Bologna 2.0 · Monza 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Bologna v Monza

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Why we predict this

  • Bologna is the stronger side on Power Rating (1596 vs 1476).
  • Bologna is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Bologna
Form Index
Bologna
Goal expectation
Bologna
Home advantage
Bologna

Green = favours Bologna · Blue = favours Monza. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BolognaWLWWD2.0 ppg
MonzaLWWLL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Bologna1596
Monza1476
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model64% · 26% · 10%
Power Rating65% · 12% · 23%
Machine-learning77% · 15% · 8%

AI match preview

Bologna enters this Serie A clash with a strong 66% probability of securing a home win against Monza, backed by a confidence level of 78.2 out of 100. The model projects a tight contest with an expected scoreline of 1-0, reflecting moderate attacking output from both sides and a low likelihood of over 2.5 goals or both teams scoring. These predictions are based on statistical analysis and should be viewed as probabilities rather than certainties—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.64 – 0.51

Most likely score

1-0

18% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 36%

Under 64%

Both teams to score

Yes 33%

No 67%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Bologna, Italy Capacity 36,462 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Bologna 0–0 Monza
Sept 2023 Monza 0–0 Bologna