Napoli vs Frosinone Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sun 14 Apr, 12:30
Napoli
22 Full time
Frosinone
Napoli 2–2 Frosinone

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (71%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 71%
Draw 16%
Away 13%

💡 Napoli are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 86.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 86.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1541 v 1387 Napoli rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 0.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Napoli v Frosinone

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Why we predict this

  • Napoli is the stronger side on Power Rating (1541 vs 1387).
  • Napoli is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Napoli
Form Index
Napoli
Goal expectation
Napoli
Home advantage
Napoli

Green = favours Napoli · Blue = favours Frosinone. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NapoliWDDLW1.6 ppg
FrosinoneDLLDD0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Napoli1541
Frosinone1387
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model59% · 23% · 18%
Power Rating69% · 12% · 20%
Machine-learning83% · 12% · 4%

AI match preview

Napoli hosts Frosinone in a Serie A clash where the home side holds a 71% probability of victory, backed by an 86/100 confidence rating. The model projects an expected goals tally of 2.06 for Napoli and 1.08 for Frosinone, suggesting a competitive match with a likely 1-1 scoreline despite the home advantage. With a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and 59% probability of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an open game; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.06 – 1.08

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 61%

Under 39%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona Naples, Italy Capacity 54,726 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Napoli 2–2 Frosinone
Aug 2023 Frosinone 1–3 Napoli