Fiorentina vs Genoa Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Mon 15 Apr, 18:30
Fiorentina
11 Full time
Genoa
Fiorentina 1–1 Genoa

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (52%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 52%
Draw 26%
Away 22%

💡 Fiorentina are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 58.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 58.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1512 v 1487 Fiorentina rated higher
Form Index WDDLL v LLDDW Fiorentina 1.0 · Genoa 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Fiorentina v Genoa

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1512 vs 1487).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Fiorentina
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Fiorentina
Home advantage
Fiorentina

Green = favours Fiorentina · Blue = favours Genoa. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FiorentinaWDDLL1.0 ppg
GenoaLLDDW1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Fiorentina1512
Genoa1487
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model47% · 30% · 22%
Power Rating51% · 19% · 30%
Machine-learning58% · 25% · 17%

AI match preview

Fiorentina hold a moderate statistical edge with a 52% chance of victory against Genoa in this Serie A clash, though a draw remains a notable 26% possibility. The model projects a closely contested match with an expected goal tally favoring Fiorentina at 1.42 to Genoa's 0.90, yet intriguingly suggests the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw. With under 2.5 goals and both teams scoring scenarios hovering near the midpoint, fans should anticipate a competitive encounter; remember, these projections are based on data and should be considered carefully—gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.42 – 0.90

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 41%

Under 59%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Fiorentina 1–1 Genoa
Aug 2023 Genoa 1–4 Fiorentina