Atalanta vs Verona Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Mon 15 Apr, 20:45
Atalanta
22 Full time
Verona
Atalanta 2–2 Verona

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (71%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 71%
Draw 17%
Away 12%

💡 Atalanta are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 86.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 86.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1583 v 1415 Atalanta rated higher
Form Index LLDWL v WWLDL Atalanta 0.8 · Verona 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Atalanta v Verona

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Why we predict this

  • Atalanta is the stronger side on Power Rating (1583 vs 1415).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atalanta
Form Index
Verona
Goal expectation
Atalanta
Home advantage
Atalanta

Green = favours Atalanta · Blue = favours Verona. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AtalantaLLDWL0.8 ppg
VeronaWWLDL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Atalanta1583
Verona1415
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model70% · 22% · 8%
Power Rating70% · 12% · 18%
Machine-learning91% · 6% · 3%

AI match preview

Atalanta are strong favorites to claim victory against Verona, with a 71% chance of a home win and an expected goal tally of 1.93 compared to Verona's 0.52. The model suggests a most likely 2-0 scoreline, reflecting Atalanta's offensive edge and defensive solidity. While the probability of over 2.5 goals stands at 44% and both teams scoring is projected at 36%, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.93 – 0.52

Most likely score

2-0

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 36%

No 64%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Gewiss Stadium Bergamo, Italy Capacity 24,950 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Atalanta 2–2 Verona
Sept 2023 Verona 0–1 Atalanta