Genoa vs Lazio Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Fri 19 Apr, 18:30
Genoa
01 Full time
Lazio
Genoa 0–1 Lazio

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (30%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 34%
Draw 30%
Away 37%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 37.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 37.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1490 v 1529 Lazio rated higher
Form Index LDDWD v LWWLW Genoa 1.2 · Lazio 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Genoa v Lazio

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1490 vs 1529).
  • Lazio is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lazio
Form Index
Lazio
Goal expectation
Lazio
Home advantage
Genoa

Green = favours Genoa · Blue = favours Lazio. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GenoaLDDWD1.2 ppg
LazioLWWLW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Genoa1490
Lazio1529
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model31% · 28% · 41%
Power Rating41% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning38% · 34% · 28%

AI match preview

Genoa and Lazio are set for a closely contested Serie A clash, with the model showing a slight edge to the visitors at 37%, but a draw remains a strong possibility at 30%. Both teams are expected to find the net, as indicated by a 58% chance of BTTS and a projected 1-1 most likely scoreline. With a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals, fans can anticipate a competitive and potentially open game; however, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.30 – 1.51

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 53%

Under 47%

Both teams to score

Yes 58%

No 42%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Genoa 0–1 Lazio
Aug 2023 Lazio 0–1 Genoa