Cagliari vs Juventus Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Fri 19 Apr, 20:45
Cagliari
22 Full time
Juventus
Cagliari 2–2 Juventus

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (51%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 20%
Draw 29%
Away 51%

💡 Juventus are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 56.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 56.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1431 v 1589 Juventus rated higher
Form Index WLDWD v DDLWD Cagliari 1.6 · Juventus 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Juventus is the stronger side on Power Rating (1589 vs 1431).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.8 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Juventus
Form Index
Cagliari
Goal expectation
Juventus
Home advantage
Cagliari

Green = favours Cagliari · Blue = favours Juventus. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CagliariWLDWD1.6 ppg
JuventusDDLWD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Cagliari1431
Juventus1589
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model19% · 26% · 56%
Power Rating30% · 19% · 51%
Machine-learning9% · 48% · 43%

AI match preview

Cagliari face a tough challenge at home against Juventus in this Serie A clash, with the model giving the visitors a 51% chance to come away with the win. Although Juventus are favored, a draw is the most probable exact score at 1-1, reflecting a tightly contested match with expected goals of 0.96 for Cagliari and 1.79 for Juventus. The likelihood of both teams scoring stands at 53%, and there's a slight edge toward over 2.5 goals at 52%, suggesting an open game with chances at both ends. Remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.96 – 1.79

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 52%

Under 48%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Cagliari 2–2 Juventus
Nov 2023 Juventus 2–1 Cagliari