Empoli vs Napoli Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sat 20 Apr, 18:00
Empoli
10 Full time
Napoli
Empoli 1–0 Napoli

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (53%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 20%
Draw 27%
Away 53%

💡 Napoli are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 59.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 59.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1420 v 1535 Napoli rated higher
Form Index LLLWL v DDLWD Empoli 0.6 · Napoli 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Napoli is the stronger side on Power Rating (1535 vs 1420).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.9 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Napoli
Form Index
Napoli
Goal expectation
Napoli
Home advantage
Empoli

Green = favours Empoli · Blue = favours Napoli. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EmpoliLLLWL0.6 ppg
NapoliDDLWD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Empoli1420
Napoli1535
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model11% · 23% · 66%
Power Rating33% · 23% · 44%
Machine-learning20% · 47% · 34%

AI match preview

Napoli enter this Serie A clash at Empoli as favorites, with a 53% chance to secure an away win, backed by an expected goals tally nearly three times higher than their hosts. The model projects a 0-2 scoreline as the most probable outcome, reflecting Napoli's offensive edge and Empoli's defensive resilience. While the probability for over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring remains below 50%, these statistical insights offer a nuanced view—remember to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.67 – 1.91

Most likely score

0-2

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 43%

No 57%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Empoli 1–0 Napoli
Nov 2023 Napoli 0–1 Empoli