Sassuolo vs Lecce Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sun 21 Apr, 12:30
Sassuolo
03 Full time
Lecce
Sassuolo 0–3 Lecce

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (42%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 42%
Draw 29%
Away 30%

💡 Sassuolo have a slight edge — leaning Sassuolo, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 45.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 45.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1387 v 1425 Lecce rated higher
Form Index WLDDD v LWDLW Sassuolo 1.2 · Lecce 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sassuolo v Lecce

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1387 vs 1425).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lecce
Form Index
Lecce
Goal expectation
Sassuolo
Home advantage
Sassuolo

Green = favours Sassuolo · Blue = favours Lecce. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SassuoloWLDDD1.2 ppg
LecceLWDLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Sassuolo1387
Lecce1425
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model45% · 28% · 26%
Power Rating41% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning39% · 32% · 29%

AI match preview

Sassuolo and Lecce are set for a closely contested Serie A clash, with the model giving a slight edge to Sassuolo at 42% for a home win, while a draw and away win are also plausible outcomes at 29% and 30%, respectively. Expected goals suggest a tight match with 1.54 for Sassuolo and 1.13 for Lecce, and a 1-1 draw emerges as the most likely scoreline. With a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, fans can anticipate an engaging encounter—remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.54 – 1.13

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 50%

Under 50%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Sassuolo 0–3 Lecce
Oct 2023 Lecce 1–1 Sassuolo