Salernitana vs Fiorentina Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sun 21 Apr, 18:00
Salernitana
02 Full time
Fiorentina
Salernitana 0–2 Fiorentina

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (58%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 18%
Draw 25%
Away 58%

💡 Fiorentina are favourites — about 58 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 67.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 67.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1316 v 1509 Fiorentina rated higher
Form Index 0.2 v 0.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Fiorentina is the stronger side on Power Rating (1509 vs 1316).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Fiorentina
Form Index
Fiorentina
Goal expectation
Fiorentina
Home advantage
Salernitana

Green = favours Salernitana · Blue = favours Fiorentina. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SalernitanaLLLDL0.2 ppg
FiorentinaDDLLD0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Salernitana1316
Fiorentina1509
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model18% · 27% · 54%
Power Rating27% · 16% · 57%
Machine-learning6% · 38% · 56%

AI match preview

Salernitana face Fiorentina in a Serie A clash where the away side holds a 58% chance of victory, according to model projections. Despite Fiorentina's edge, the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, reflecting a balanced contest with expected goals of 0.88 for Salernitana and 1.65 for Fiorentina. With under 2.5 goals and both teams scoring being nearly equally probable, this matchup could see a tightly contested battle—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.88 – 1.65

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 46%

Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Salernitana 0–2 Fiorentina
Dec 2023 Fiorentina 3–0 Salernitana