Monza vs Atalanta Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sun 21 Apr, 20:45
Monza
12 Full time
Atalanta
Monza 1–2 Atalanta

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (46%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 26%
Draw 28%
Away 46%

💡 Atalanta are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 51.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 51.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1482 v 1576 Atalanta rated higher
Form Index WWLLD v LDWLD Monza 1.4 · Atalanta 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Monza v Atalanta

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Why we predict this

  • Atalanta is the stronger side on Power Rating (1576 vs 1482).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atalanta
Form Index
Monza
Goal expectation
Atalanta
Home advantage
Monza

Green = favours Monza · Blue = favours Atalanta. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MonzaWWLLD1.4 ppg
AtalantaLDWLD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Monza1482
Atalanta1576
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model30% · 27% · 42%
Power Rating35% · 24% · 41%
Machine-learning15% · 40% · 46%

AI match preview

Monza hosts Atalanta in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a 46% chance to win, according to model projections, while a draw is slightly more likely than a Monza win. The expected goals suggest a tight contest, with a 1-1 scoreline being the most probable outcome despite Atalanta’s edge. With over 2.5 goals and both teams to score probabilities above 55%, fans can anticipate an open and competitive match. Remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.33 – 1.60

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Monza 1–2 Atalanta
Sept 2023 Atalanta 3–0 Monza