Roma vs Bologna Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Mon 22 Apr, 18:30
Roma
13 Full time
Bologna
Roma 1–3 Bologna

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (44%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 44%
Draw 29%
Away 27%

💡 Roma have a slight edge — leaning Roma, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 48.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1590 v 1591 Bologna rated higher
Form Index WDWDW v LWWDD Roma 2.2 · Bologna 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Roma v Bologna

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1590 vs 1591).
  • Roma is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Roma
Goal expectation
Roma
Home advantage
Roma

Green = favours Roma · Blue = favours Bologna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
RomaWDWDW2.2 ppg
BolognaLWWDD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Roma1590
Bologna1591
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model55% · 27% · 18%
Power Rating47% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning42% · 31% · 27%

AI match preview

Roma host Bologna in a Serie A clash where the model favors a home win at 44%, though a draw or away victory remain plausible outcomes. The expected goals suggest Roma hold an edge (1.71 to 0.91), yet the most likely scoreline is a tight 1-1 draw, highlighting a balanced contest. With a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% probability both teams score, this match could offer attacking moments, but remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.71 – 0.91

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Olimpico Rome, Italy Capacity 70,634 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Roma 1–3 Bologna
Dec 2023 Bologna 2–0 Roma