Udinese vs Roma Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Thu 25 Apr, 20:00
Udinese
12 Full time
Roma
Udinese 1–2 Roma

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (41%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 20%
Draw 41%
Away 38%

💡 Our model leans towards a draw (41%) — expect a tight one.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 42.3/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.3
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1425 v 1570 Roma rated higher
Form Index WLDLL v DWDWL Udinese 0.8 · Roma 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Udinese v Roma

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Why we predict this

  • Roma is the stronger side on Power Rating (1570 vs 1425).
  • Roma is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Roma
Form Index
Roma
Goal expectation
Roma
Home advantage
Udinese

Green = favours Udinese · Blue = favours Roma. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
UdineseWLDLL0.8 ppg
RomaDWDWL1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Udinese1425
Roma1570
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model23% · 27% · 51%
Power Rating31% · 20% · 49%
Machine-learning12% · 36% · 52%

AI match preview

Udinese welcome Roma in a Serie A clash where a draw is the most probable outcome at 41%, with the model suggesting a tightly contested 1-1 scoreline. Roma hold a slight edge with a 38% chance to win, but the high draw probability and expected goals of 1.11 for Udinese and 1.75 for Roma indicate a balanced encounter. Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score are moderately likely at 54% and 57%, respectively; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.11 – 1.75

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 54%

Under 46%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Udinese 1–2 Roma
Nov 2023 Roma 3–1 Udinese