Frosinone vs Salernitana Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Fri 26 Apr, 20:45
Frosinone
30 Full time
Salernitana
Frosinone 3–0 Salernitana

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (67%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 67%
Draw 18%
Away 15%

💡 Frosinone are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 81.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 81.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1399 v 1305 Frosinone rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 0.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Frosinone v Salernitana

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Frosinone is the stronger side on Power Rating (1399 vs 1305).
  • Frosinone is in clearly better recent form (0.8 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Frosinone
Form Index
Frosinone
Goal expectation
Frosinone
Home advantage
Frosinone

Green = favours Frosinone · Blue = favours Salernitana. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FrosinoneLDDDD0.8 ppg
SalernitanaLLDLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Frosinone1399
Salernitana1305
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model65% · 21% · 14%
Power Rating62% · 13% · 25%
Machine-learning70% · 18% · 13%

AI match preview

Frosinone enter this Serie A clash with a strong 67% probability of securing a home win against Salernitana, backed by a high confidence rating of 81/100. The model projects an expected goal tally of 2.30 for Frosinone and 1.01 for Salernitana, suggesting a competitive 2-1 scoreline as the most likely outcome. With a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and 58% likelihood of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an engaging match, though these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.30 – 1.01

Most likely score

2-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 64%

Under 36%

Both teams to score

Yes 58%

No 42%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Frosinone 3–0 Salernitana
Sept 2023 Salernitana 1–1 Frosinone