Lazio vs Verona Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sat 27 Apr, 20:45
Lazio
10 Full time
Verona
Lazio 1–0 Verona

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (60%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 60%
Draw 23%
Away 17%

💡 Lazio are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 70.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 70.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1540 v 1431 Lazio rated higher
Form Index WWLWW v LDLDW Lazio 2.4 · Verona 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Lazio is the stronger side on Power Rating (1540 vs 1431).
  • Lazio is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lazio
Form Index
Lazio
Goal expectation
Lazio
Home advantage
Lazio

Green = favours Lazio · Blue = favours Verona. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LazioWWLWW2.4 ppg
VeronaLDLDW1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Lazio1540
Verona1431
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 34% · 18%
Power Rating64% · 12% · 24%
Machine-learning71% · 22% · 7%

AI match preview

Lazio hosts Verona in a Serie A clash where the home side holds a 60% probability of victory, supported by a 70.7/100 confidence rating. Despite Lazio's edge in expected goals (1.18 to 0.61), the model intriguingly highlights a 0-0 draw as the most likely scoreline, with low chances for over 2.5 goals (27%) and both teams scoring (33%). These projections offer insight into potential outcomes but remember to gamble responsibly—betting is never a certainty (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.18 – 0.61

Most likely score

0-0

18% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 27%

Under 73%

Both teams to score

Yes 33%

No 67%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

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Season averages (per game · last 114+ matches)

LazioVerona
5.0 Corners 3.9
2.6 Cards 2.6
11.4 Fouls 15.0

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Lazio 1–0 Verona
Dec 2023 Verona 1–1 Lazio