Fiorentina vs Sassuolo Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sun 28 Apr, 20:45
Fiorentina
51 Full time
Sassuolo
Fiorentina 5–1 Sassuolo

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (67%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 67%
Draw 19%
Away 15%

💡 Fiorentina are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 80.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 80.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1520 v 1366 Fiorentina rated higher
Form Index DLLDW v LDDDL Fiorentina 1.0 · Sassuolo 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Fiorentina v Sassuolo

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Why we predict this

  • Fiorentina is the stronger side on Power Rating (1520 vs 1366).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Fiorentina
Form Index
Fiorentina
Goal expectation
Fiorentina
Home advantage
Fiorentina

Green = favours Fiorentina · Blue = favours Sassuolo. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FiorentinaDLLDW1.0 ppg
SassuoloLDDDL0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Fiorentina1520
Sassuolo1366
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model65% · 21% · 14%
Power Rating69% · 12% · 20%
Machine-learning84% · 10% · 6%

AI match preview

Fiorentina enter this Serie A clash with a strong 67% probability of securing a home win against Sassuolo, backed by an expected goals tally of 2.35 to 1.05. The model suggests a competitive match, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1 and a 66% chance of the game producing over 2.5 goals. While Fiorentina are favored, the 19% draw probability and 15% chance of an away win highlight the uncertainties inherent in football—please remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.35 – 1.05

Most likely score

2-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 66%

Under 34%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Fiorentina 5–1 Sassuolo
Jan 2024 Sassuolo 1–0 Fiorentina