Genoa vs Cagliari Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Mon 29 Apr, 20:45
Genoa
30 Full time
Cagliari
Genoa 3–0 Cagliari

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (50%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 50%
Draw 26%
Away 24%

💡 Genoa are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 56.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 56.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1478 v 1434 Genoa rated higher
Form Index DDWDL v LDWDD Genoa 1.2 · Cagliari 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Genoa v Cagliari

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Why we predict this

  • Genoa is the stronger side on Power Rating (1478 vs 1434).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Genoa
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Genoa
Home advantage
Genoa

Green = favours Genoa · Blue = favours Cagliari. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GenoaDDWDL1.2 ppg
CagliariLDWDD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Genoa1478
Cagliari1434
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model52% · 29% · 19%
Power Rating54% · 17% · 29%
Machine-learning62% · 22% · 16%

AI match preview

Genoa hold a slight edge with a 50% probability to secure a home win against Cagliari, who are pegged at 24%, while a draw stands at 26%. The expected goals suggest Genoa may score around 1.5 goals compared to Cagliari’s 0.85, yet the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, indicating a closely contested match. With under 2.5 goals and both teams not necessarily expected to score, this game could be tight—remember these are statistical projections and please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.52 – 0.85

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 42%

Under 58%

Both teams to score

Yes 46%

No 54%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Genoa 3–0 Cagliari
Nov 2023 Cagliari 2–1 Genoa