Monza vs Lazio Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sat 4 May, 18:00
Monza
22 Full time
Lazio
Monza 2–2 Lazio

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (46%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 27%
Draw 27%
Away 46%

💡 Lazio are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 51.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 51.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1473 v 1546 Lazio rated higher
Form Index LLDLD v WLWWW Monza 0.4 · Lazio 2.4 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Monza v Lazio

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Why we predict this

  • Lazio is the stronger side on Power Rating (1546 vs 1473).
  • Lazio is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lazio
Form Index
Lazio
Goal expectation
Lazio
Home advantage
Monza

Green = favours Monza · Blue = favours Lazio. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MonzaLLDLD0.4 ppg
LazioWLWWW2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Monza1473
Lazio1546
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model27% · 29% · 44%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 38%
Machine-learning37% · 28% · 36%

AI match preview

Monza hosts Lazio in a Serie A clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 46%, though a draw or home victory also remain plausible at 27% each. Expected goals suggest a tight contest with 1.16 for Monza and 1.52 for Lazio, aligning with the most likely 1-1 scoreline. With a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and 55% probability for both teams to score, this match promises competitive action; remember these projections are based on statistical models—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.16 – 1.52

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 50%

Under 50%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Monza 2–2 Lazio
Sept 2023 Lazio 1–1 Monza