Cagliari vs Lecce Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sun 5 May, 12:30
Cagliari
11 Full time
Lecce
Cagliari 1–1 Lecce

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (43%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 43%
Draw 29%
Away 28%

💡 Cagliari have a slight edge — leaning Cagliari, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 47.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 47.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1420 v 1445 Lecce rated higher
Form Index DWDDL v DLWWD Cagliari 1.2 · Lecce 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1420 vs 1445).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lecce
Form Index
Lecce
Goal expectation
Cagliari
Home advantage
Cagliari

Green = favours Cagliari · Blue = favours Lecce. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CagliariDWDDL1.2 ppg
LecceDLWWD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Cagliari1420
Lecce1445
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model44% · 28% · 28%
Power Rating43% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning41% · 30% · 30%

AI match preview

Cagliari hosts Lecce in a Serie A clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 43% chance of victory, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 29%. The model forecasts a tight contest with expected goals of 1.55 for Cagliari and 1.19 for Lecce, pointing towards a likely 1-1 scoreline. With over 2.5 goals and both teams to score probabilities just over 50%, this match could offer balanced attacking action; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.55 – 1.19

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 52%

Under 48%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Cagliari 1–1 Lecce
Jan 2024 Lecce 1–1 Cagliari