Empoli vs Frosinone Prediction

Serie A 23/24 · Sun 5 May, 15:00
Empoli
00 Full time
Frosinone
Empoli 0–0 Frosinone

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (42%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 42%
Draw 28%
Away 30%

💡 Empoli have a slight edge — leaning Empoli, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 46.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1425 v 1410 Empoli rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 1.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1425 vs 1410).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Empoli
Form Index
Frosinone
Goal expectation
Empoli
Home advantage
Empoli

Green = favours Empoli · Blue = favours Frosinone. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EmpoliLWLWL1.2 ppg
FrosinoneDDDDW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Empoli1425
Frosinone1410
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model40% · 32% · 28%
Power Rating49% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning49% · 27% · 24%

AI match preview

Empoli hosts Frosinone in a Serie A clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 42% chance of victory, though a draw or away win remain plausible outcomes. The model projects a tight contest with an expected goals tally of 1.25 for Empoli and 1.02 for Frosinone, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline. With only a 40% probability for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, this match could be a closely fought encounter; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.25 – 1.02

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 40%

Under 60%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Empoli 0–0 Frosinone
Nov 2023 Frosinone 2–1 Empoli